Web Survey Bibliography
Title Polling Error in the 2015 UK General Election: An Analysis of YouGov’s Pre and Post-Election Polls
Author Wells, A.; Rivers, D.
Year 2015
Access date 04.04.2016
Abstract
The polls released by YouGov and all other pollsters prior to the 2015 UK general election significantly overestimated Labour support and underestimated Conservative support. For example, YouGov’s final pre-election poll, fielded 4–6 May and released on Wednesday afternoon on the eve of the election, had Labour and Conservatives tied at 34%. In fact, Conservatives won with 37.7% of the vote, well ahead of Labour at 31.2%. The purpose of this report is to understand why we were wrong and what could be done to fix it.
Access/Direct link Webpage
Year of publication2015
Bibliographic typeReports, seminars
Web survey bibliography - Rivers, D. (11)
- Variance Estimation for Surveys from Internet Panels ; 2015; Rivers, D.
- Polling Error in the 2015 UK General Election: An Analysis of YouGov’s Pre and Post-Election Polls...; 2015; Wells, A.; Rivers, D.
- Estimating Mode Effects Without Bias: A Randomized Experiment to Compare Mode Effects Between Face-to...; 2013; Rivers, D., Vavreck, L.
- Using Web Survey Panels to Estimate Population Characteristics: A Comparison of Alternative Approaches...; 2013; Rivers, D.
- The Persistence of Attentiveness in Web Surveys: A Panel Study; 2012; Berinsky, A., Luks, S., Rivers, D.
- AAPOR Report on Online Panels; 2010; P., Blumberg, S. J., Brick, J. M., Rivers, D. et. al.Baker, R. P.
- Improving the Efficiency of Web Survey Experiments; 2008; Luks, S., Rivers, D.
- The “Professional Respondent” Problem in Web Surveys; 2008; Rivers, D.
- Sampling for web surveys; 2007; Rivers, D.
- Understanding people. Sample matching; 2006; Rivers, D.
- Sample matching. Representative sampling from Internet panels; 2006; Rivers, D.